Future of Migration

[Glenn Pereira]

Here is my view

An announcement was made yesterday that the unemployment rate has crept up to 6 percent and is likely to go up further in the next 12 months.

Elections are due next year and hence the Government will tighten its grip on Migration.


-Sub-Class 457

It appears that the 457 was scammed. Hence the Government had to change it. The recession gave the Govt. a reason to tighten the "457". The numbers of approval have declined to below 50 percent. DIAC is "full steam ahead" on Monitoring of existing visas applicants.

The best tool the Government has to refuse the sponsorship and nomination is the undefined criteria "benefit to Australia"

Since the new changes were announced on 14 th Sept 09, I do not anticipate new changes until after the elections.

It is logical that a critical skill list may be announced for 457.


-OFFSHORE GSM

Off-shore GSM has also been scammed in large numbers from India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka , Dubai.

Pathway D (based on experienced) was removed.

Government TAFE institutes have been awarded contracts by DEEWR (TRA) to carry out off shore assessment for Trade Certificates (AQF III)

The off-shore GSM does not meet the labour shortage requirement in Australia because of the time lag in processing.

-VET providers are traveling overseas and issuing VET certificates (trade-Cert III)

-MODL wil be changed depending on the submission to the MODL discussion paper

Likely to see a new major policy to increase intake after the Elections.


I have suggested in my paper a "FastTrack" TR for occupations on the MODL with options into a FAST Track PR if the persn lands a job in Australia

For CSL , I have suggested a fast track PR (which is taking place)

ON-SHORE GSM

On-shore GSM has been scammed.

AUSTRALIA requires the export income.

Universities and TAFE will be promoted overseas in the next few months instead of the "PR" courses

Automechanic, Horticulture, Community Welfare, Pre-press Printing, Hair Dressing

Student visas-TR-PR will be the pathway for the future.

Applications lodged prior to 1st Jan 2010 will wait in the queue as DIAC has to investigate all the 900 hrs employment certificates

Applications lodged from 1st Jan 2010 is likely to be processed quickly.

All students who have studied in VET Institutes that will be sanctioned once the ESOS amendment is passed, are likely to be subject to a TRADE Test irrespective when they apply for on-shore GSM i.e. prior to 1st Jan 2010 or on 1st Jan 2010

-JOB READY TEST

Will come into force on 1st Jan 2010

-On-shore Applicants who lodged applications from 1st Jan 2010 will come under the Job ready policy (law) and a new queue

-SEPT ANNOUNCEMENT ON PROCESSING TIMES

The 23 rd Sept announcement will give DIAC breathing space to fix the "mess" on On-Shore GSM , OFF-SHORE GSM (INDIA, SRI LANKA, PAKISTAN, BANGLADESH), CSL & MODL.

EDUCATION AGENTS

A code of conduct is likely to be announced in Jan 2010

Only registered education agents will be eligible to represent students.

As we speak DIAC has cut off e-visa access to a number of Education and Migration Agents

MIGRATION AGENTS


Please explain letters will go out from OMARA to a number of Registered migration agents who have or are representing clients with Bogus 900 hrs documents.

-STUDENTS

Sec 234 and/or sec 501 is likely to be used against students who have bogus 900 hrs certificate

-00 hrs


In my opinion, it will be abolished and replaced by the "job ready" policy.

Regards
Glenn Pereira

[Sheelagh Blanckenberg]

Food for thought Glenn.

And over here in WA there have been a number of discussions taking place on how the State is going to "supply" or have enough skilled people to work on all the projects in the pipeline.

The universal opinion expressed at the WA Business News recent roundtable was the urgent need for government and industry to work together to address the looming shortage. Research conducted by the Chamber of Minerals and Energy WA, even under its most pessimistic economic forecasts, found WA will need to find an extra 10,000 workers by next year, rising to 37,000 in 2012 when LNG construction alone is likely to be at its peak.

The consensus is that there will not be enough physical bodies in Australia, let alone skilled persons, to make up the human capital needs of these projects. And these employment opportunities are not just your engineers - it is a whole raft of personnel from tradies to cooks to cleaners, bus/truck drivers, accountants, office managers, nurses etc.

So it is a worry that processing of skilled applications slows down or virtually stops while DIAC sort out the student mess. How short sighted is that?

[Sheelagh Blanckenberg]

In relation to DIAC throwing the book at dodgy education and migration agents as well as dodgy students who were complicit in this "900 hour mess", I say - good on them and more power to the DPP! Clear out the rotters. One cannot expect to rort the system the way some have without suffering the consequences.

What I utterly disagree with however, is the Minister making everyone pay. Why should genuine applicants who have done everything right (especially those in the final stages of their applications who have done medicals etc) be penalised? Yes, the Minister can hide behind the legislation and what's in his power by virtue of the Migration Act, but sometimes the law is an ass, and the sweeping changes he has brought in do no credit to him or Australia.

[Sheelagh Blanckenberg]

So where are we now one and all?

Whose crystal ball is transparent and clear enough to 'see' the shape of future migration in this country vis a vis the relative short term needs for growth of the country against the backdrop of carbon emissions/environemtal degradation/unsustainability of a population level above 16 million as Bob Brown and the Greens contend?

Will the government give in to demands to put a cap on migration until the country has a proper debate on population numbers and sustainability issues or will it give into big business eg LNG projects, international student industry etc and open the doors once the economy starts to take off again?

SEE THREAD - Calls to cut Migration Rates (http://forum.migrationhelp.com.au/showthread.php?t=433)

[Ash Upadhyay]

Hi Glenn,

My name is Ash upadhyay and I have been looking for your contact details for long time now, I studied in australia during 1197-2002 and finished Advance Diploma in Information Technology and have also partly finished Bachelor of Applied Science (Information technology except only ONE subject), since then I tried many times to apply for student visa during 2003 but Aus Immigration has refused on base that my intention is not genuine to study and return to my country India, I moved to London in Feb 2005 with my wife who is a Homoeopathy Doctor from India and have been living in london since then but I never forgot that I still havent got a bachelor degree, I am still longing to finish my bachelor and honestly settle in australia as I always wanted, I am really requesting you to help me out here to finish my graduation and also to seek migration in Australia.
if you prefer me to contact you on phone, please send me your contact details and will get in touch with you straightaway,

Kind Regards
Ash Upadhyay

Here is my view

An announcement was made yesterday that the unemployment rate has crept up to 6 percent and is likely to go up further in the next 12 months.

Elections are due next year and hence the Government will tighten its grip on Migration.


-Sub-Class 457

It appears that the 457 was scammed. Hence the Government had to change it. The recession gave the Govt. a reason to tighten the "457". The numbers of approval have declined to below 50 percent. DIAC is "full steam ahead" on Monitoring of existing visas applicants.

The best tool the Government has to refuse the sponsorship and nomination is the undefined criteria "benefit to Australia"

Since the new changes were announced on 14 th Sept 09, I do not anticipate new changes until after the elections.

It is logical that a critical skill list may be announced for 457.


-OFFSHORE GSM

Off-shore GSM has also been scammed in large numbers from India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka , Dubai.

Pathway D (based on experienced) was removed.

Government TAFE institutes have been awarded contracts by DEEWR (TRA) to carry out off shore assessment for Trade Certificates (AQF III)

The off-shore GSM does not meet the labour shortage requirement in Australia because of the time lag in processing.

-VET providers are traveling overseas and issuing VET certificates (trade-Cert III)

-MODL wil be changed depending on the submission to the MODL discussion paper

Likely to see a new major policy to increase intake after the Elections.


I have suggested in my paper a "FastTrack" TR for occupations on the MODL with options into a FAST Track PR if the persn lands a job in Australia

For CSL , I have suggested a fast track PR (which is taking place)

ON-SHORE GSM

On-shore GSM has been scammed.

AUSTRALIA requires the export income.

Universities and TAFE will be promoted overseas in the next few months instead of the "PR" courses

Automechanic, Horticulture, Community Welfare, Pre-press Printing, Hair Dressing

Student visas-TR-PR will be the pathway for the future.

Applications lodged prior to 1st Jan 2010 will wait in the queue as DIAC has to investigate all the 900 hrs employment certificates

Applications lodged from 1st Jan 2010 is likely to be processed quickly.

All students who have studied in VET Institutes that will be sanctioned once the ESOS amendment is passed, are likely to be subject to a TRADE Test irrespective when they apply for on-shore GSM i.e. prior to 1st Jan 2010 or on 1st Jan 2010

-JOB READY TEST

Will come into force on 1st Jan 2010

-On-shore Applicants who lodged applications from 1st Jan 2010 will come under the Job ready policy (law) and a new queue

-SEPT ANNOUNCEMENT ON PROCESSING TIMES

The 23 rd Sept announcement will give DIAC breathing space to fix the "mess" on On-Shore GSM , OFF-SHORE GSM (INDIA, SRI LANKA, PAKISTAN, BANGLADESH), CSL & MODL.

EDUCATION AGENTS

A code of conduct is likely to be announced in Jan 2010

Only registered education agents will be eligible to represent students.

As we speak DIAC has cut off e-visa access to a number of Education and Migration Agents

MIGRATION AGENTS


Please explain letters will go out from OMARA to a number of Registered migration agents who have or are representing clients with Bogus 900 hrs documents.

-STUDENTS

Sec 234 and/or sec 501 is likely to be used against students who have bogus 900 hrs certificate

-00 hrs


In my opinion, it will be abolished and replaced by the "job ready" policy.

Regards
Glenn Pereira

[Robert]

This is a good analyses on the future of GSM. I suspect a significant number of Migration Agents would be forced to rethink about their poisiton in this professionb.

http://inside.org.au/skilled-migration-gets-a-makeover/



Robert K Chelliah
WWW.austmigration.com.au